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GeekyBear

Apple has a long history of buying their suppliers a production line in return for guaranteed production levels, going back to the start of the Tim Cook era.

An early example.

https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2005/11/21Apple-Announces-Lon...

A more recent example.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-apple-corning/apple-award...

If you go back to the time when Apple was looking at single sourcing all their SOC production at TSMC, you'll see TSMC's CEO publicly saying it would make sense to dedicate a Fab to a single customer.

>The world's leading foundry chip maker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. is considering operating single-customer wafer fabs, according to chairman and CEO Morris Chang.

"I think that they are going to be larger customers, and now it makes complete sense to dedicate a whole fab to just one customer and hold that – to hold fabs in fact to just one customer."

https://web.archive.org/web/20120728040723/https://www.eetim...

I think the reason that Apple is always first in line at TSMC is that they bought TSMC a Fab.

rob74

They don't have to buy TSMC a fab, they simply have to pay (slightly) more than other TSMC customers - and Apple with its uniquely high margins can afford to do just that. Of course, depending on other details of the contract (such as guaranteeing certain volumes, which Apple can also do much more easily because they use the chips themselves), they don't even have to pay more to be TSMC's preferred customer.

Actually I would put the blame squarely on AMD and Qualcomm for making themselves dependent on TSMC - especially AMD who have turned themselves into a "fabless manufacturer" and are now experiencing the consequences...

mdasen

> they simply have to pay (slightly) more than other TSMC customers

I'd argue that they need to pay significantly more than other customer in order to get such preferential treatment.

In a short-sighted view of things, you only need to pay slightly more. If AMD is willing to pay $1 and Apple is willing to pay $1.01, you make more profit selling to Apple. However, as this article shows, you might end up losing the other business if you offer Apple such preferential treatment. If Apple isn't going to use all of your capacity year-round, you don't want to alienate the other companies whose orders you rely on.

I think Apple likely has to pay a significant premium for getting access to the latest and greatest to the detriment of competitors. It's not in TSMC's interests to become too dependent on Apple. If AMD and Qualcomm mutiny and their orders start boosting Samsung's foundries with more money for R&D, TSMC could find itself 1) competing against a better-funded Samsung foundry; 2) with one customer that now has leverage over TSMC and getting paid less.

If AMD and Qualcomm move all their orders to Samsung, it provides Samsung with the money to reinvest in its chip business. If they're able to make long-term commitments to Samsung, that's bad for TSMC since it will allow Samsung to invest knowing it will make a profit (just as TSMC has been able to do that with Apple's commitments).

Likewise, if the two other giant chip design companies move to Samsung exclusively, that leaves TSMC in a tough negotiating position with Apple. Before, Apple would have to compete against AMD and Qualcomm for capacity. Now if AMD and Qualcomm have made long-term commitments to Samsung, TSMC becomes really reliant on Apple and Apple will know that TSMC has capacity they can't sell elsewhere. Sure, MediaTek and others exist, but it swings the power away from TSMC and toward Apple. Let's say that Apple was using 40% of TSMC's capacity, AMD 25%, Qualcomm 25%, and MediaTek 10%. Now AMD and Qualcomm make long-term commitments to Samsung. Apple knows that TSMC's orders have dropped 50% and that gives Apple a lot of power.

Giving Apple the best to the detriment of AMD, Qualcomm, and others is a risky play for TSMC. They'll definitely want to be getting very well compensated for it, not merely slightly more. They'll want to make sure that what Apple is offering is enough to offset the substantial risk of angering competing chip design companies who might look for fabs elsewhere.

ricw

Apple is 20% of TSMCs revenue. That’s enough to make such demands. On top of that they’re likely also paying top dollar.

TrainedMonkey

Not sure I totally buy your point, but it does sound interesting/intriguing enough for an Asianometry video: https://www.youtube.com/c/Asianometry/videos

WithinReason

Arguably becoming fabless and manufacturing at TSMC is what brought AMD its edge over Intel and its recent success.

totalZero

The reason AMD went fabless had nothing to do with edge. It was a move to prevent bankruptcy. Intel fell behind because of its process woes and managerial issues. They weren't outworked, they played themselves.

to11mtm

Yeah this one is hard to look at, especially because for a while it looked like it was a very bad move for AMD. In retrospect it was still a kinda bad contract for them for a while (IIRC, GloFo couldn't deliver on process for Bulldozer, which led to poor yields/heat/etc, killing demand, but AMD had contracts with GloFo stipulating penalties for not hitting certain order numbers.)

But at the same time, they were then unshackled as you said; As time went on and they could move more volume to TSMC it wound up helping them out immensely.

It's kinda worth remembering too though, that even at their 'peak' in the early 2000s AMD was 6-12 months behind Intel on process tech if you go by releases. Given the trouble Intel has had keeping up one could only imagine where AMD would be now.

cptskippy

I don't think there's any debate. GloFo abandoned 7nm research 3 years after TSMC shipped. TSMC has since pushed out 6nm and 5nm while GloFo is just languishing in 12/14nm.

agumonkey

It was a difficult seat to be in and they managed to use what they had extremely well. Let's see how they fare now.

GeekyBear

> They don't have to buy TSMC a fab

They don't have to, but buying production equipment for their manufacturing partners (in return for guaranteed pricing and production levels) is the norm at Tim Cook's Apple.

ksec

Is the norm for Tim Cook's Operation ( both before and after Steve Jobs ) at Foxconn. Or more specifically industrial design and manufacturing.

Apple dont buy production equipment for TSMC, or Samsung Foundry. Zero.

toast0

> Actually I would put the blame squarely on AMD and Qualcomm for making themselves dependent on TSMC - especially AMD who have turned themselves into a "fabless manufacturer" and are now experiencing the consequences...

The consequences being if you don't like what your fab is up to, you can switch fabs. Doesn't sound too bad. GlobalFoundries, the former AMD fab, has all but given up on smaller nodes at this point, but AMD switched to TSMC for CPUs and a mix of TSMC and Samsung for GPUs. On the other hand, Intel had problems with their fab for several years, and is only now starting to consider using other fabs, when their process seems to be starting to work.

Yes, designing chips to fabricate on different lines is more work, but it's something AMD has intentionally done and it has benefits over running your own fab, especially when your own fab has trouble with node shrinks.

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[deleted]

myohmy

Eh, the business world isn't as simple as Econ 101. Personal and business relationships matter. Risk matters quite a bit too. Which is why strategic partnerships happen between large businesses.

acdha

> They don't have to buy TSMC a fab, they simply have to pay (slightly) more than other TSMC customers - and Apple with its uniquely high margins can afford to do just that.

It's not as simple as high margins but controlling most of the stack. If all Apple was doing was charging more, we'd see comparable quality devices at lower cost but we don't and it's not uncommon for e.g. a Samsung flagship to cost more despite being slower (or narrowly beating the previous generation, depending on launch timing). What we're seeing instead is that Apple has both consistent goals on their execution (e.g. not Google and Qualcomm working at cross-purposes which make sense for their individual businesses) and captures more of the revenue.

That's a lot harder to catch up with and gives Apple consistent enough revenue that they can do things like effectively floating TSMC a great loan or pay more per unit since they don't need to justify it based on the profits from a single layer. Dell can't pay for their processor R&D using the money you spend on Spotify or Steam.

JeremyNT

Indeed, this is the obvious risk of allowing a TSMC monopoly, and its "fabless" customers have little justification for complaining.

AMD is not the savior here, nor any other TSMC customer. Intel completely squandered its lead, and now we really need to hope they can catch up and remain competitive. We shouldn't allow TSMC to take total control of the market.

Klinky

I don't think they would only need to pay slightly more. It is a bad move to be entirely dependent on a single customer to the detriment of your other customer relations. To gain exclusivity there would likely need to be a significant premium paid and minimum order commitments.

desiarnezjr

They're not though. There are still many fabs available, just not the premium ones. It's up to every other company that wants those seats to pony up and do what they need to do to get that capacity.

It's like a restaurant reservation for a very regular "VIP" customer. They may get really special treatment, because they're probably spent enough to earn it. And everyone else schleps in line.

Really there's nothing wrong with that. It may be annoying, but someone is paying way more and consistently for that table.

thamer

I've always found the story of the webcam indicator shining through metal to be fascinating.

On MacBook laptops from ~2011, a green light would indicate when the webcam was in use. But the magical part of this was that when it was off, you couldn't see the LED at all, so it looked like this light was shining through the metal bezel at the top. This was achieved by drilling extremely small holes in the frame above the LED, small enough that they're barely visible without magnification but having enough of them that light can easily pass through. It's a striking effect, if you notice it.

To do this, they apparently bought so many high-precision lasers just for this feature that it created a shortage for other companies that needed them: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2011-11-03/apples-su...

danudey

Googling isn't finding the story, so take this with a grain of salt, but as I recall there have been incidents where Apple needed so many of a specific machine, made by one specific company, to set up their manufacturing, but when they couldn't get enough delivered on time they bought the company outright.

(Presumably this would help by giving them access to the IP so they could contract other factories to manufacture them as well, since Apple has the up-front cash to do it)

Again, I can't find the article so who knows if it's true, but it sounds very, very Apple to do that.

discordance

A bit dated now, but still a good analysis by Horace Dediu on Apple’s machinery expenditure here:

http://www.asymco.com/2011/10/16/how-much-do-apples-factorie...

sangnoir

There was also a small glass/saphire company that agreed to sell exclusively to Apple, they had to innvest a lot of money to increase capacity, and in the end, Apple decided to continue using Gorilla glass, and the company went under.

MBCook

That sounds very familiar. I think they might’ve done it to source the milling machines used when they switched to the unibody MacBook pros?

throwawaymanbot

I remember Jonny Ive mentioned this and how he was proud to have designed it.

wingspar

I recall they used the laser holes for the power light in the front of those MacBooks. The led ‘breathes’ (fading in and out) when the computer is ‘asleep’

Telemakhos

Yes, and it is gorgeous. I still have my 2012 MacBook Pro with this light in the front. I've upgraded to the M1 MBP, but the 2012 model still runs beautifully almost ten years later.

rasz

There was also a meme about Apple buying 10K CNC machines for unibody manufacturing. Probably exaggerated by one order of magnitude, but still substantial.

fomine3

What Apple did for Japan Display is interesting. They invest to build new JDI Hakusan factory for iPhone LCD but they were going to transitioned to OLED as a result. Then the factory become debt. https://www.strategyanalytics.com/strategy-analytics/blogs/c...

rasz

Its actually going back to at least Jobs return to Apple in 1997. Apple financed Wifi card production line for their modem supplier in Taiwan:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tj5NNxVwNwQ Arthur W. Astrin, sort of father of WiFi, hired by Apple to develop and incorporate 802.11b into their products. Spend most of 1998/99 flying West Coast-Taiwan twice a week (coordinating iBooks/iMacs manufacturing).

Made HP very happy:

>so I called up HP and I said "I need a spectrum analyzer. It needs to be at least three gigahertz,", and it would be nice if it was programmable. So, they whipped up something and next day the salesman shows up with this.. they call it HP Basic Language Computer. So we built 1, 2, then we ordered 10 then 50. All of a sudden HP started coming. The salesman became my best friend. <Laughs> In fact, I think I was the largest order that year for the spectrum analyzer at HP

We are talking small car unit prices here.

Afaik they did the same for iPhone camera modules with Primax, who went from small time accessories and gadgets manufacturer to one of Taiwan titans.

thevagrant

It goes back to the iPod days.

Apple used to buy up the flash memory in advance. Leaving competitors to pay more for smaller yield or inferior quality.

It doesn't always work. Apple once invested a huge amount in making sapphire glass for their watches. I can't remember the company name but they failed completely at delivering to Apples required spec and the deal was scrapped (leaving the supplier to face massive debts).

reaperhulk

GT Advanced Technologies (https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2019-66 SEC went after them in 2019)

inasio

I had a chat with an engineer that was building apple stores (the big anchor ones). The stone for the walls came from a quarry that was fully bought by apple, apple people would go there to select the stones that had the quality they wanted and use those.

Someone

Yes, it is capitalism at work. Whomever pays more, decides.

Apple says something along the lines of “we guarantee to buy x million chips this year, y million next year. We know it’s expensive to build that capacity, so here’s a few billion up front”.

That’s an offer few can make and nobody else is willing to make.

_ph_

The big point indeed is, that Apple pays in advance to finance the buildup of the production facilities. Of course they get the first access at the output as a consequence.

donny2018

That’s reasonable, I guess. If that is “capitalism” (with negative connotation) then what is more fair alternative to this?

smoldesu

Does that not qualify as a monopoly? No other company in the world has the amount of liquid cash Apple does, so if there really are informal arrangements like this I'd expect them to be heartily scrutinized at their next antitrust hearing.

ivoras

Would that move make TSMC's CEO less like a CEO of an independant company and more like Apple's VP of chips?

xyzzy_plugh

This is really nothing new. Apple has been playing this game for years, ask anyone who shared an adjacent floor with Apple in Foxconn in the last decade.

Whether it's unibody aluminum milled frames, bleeding edge injection molding, glass, silicon...

It's done nothing but good for Apple to be aggressive and as vertical without owning the manufacturer as possible. Some of their processes are _years_ ahead of what anyone else can get their hands on, because they buy all the equipment, lease all the floors, and just throw money around like it's nobody's business. AMD and certainly Qualcomm can't touch em.

jeswin

> Some of their processes are _years_ ahead of what anyone else can get their hands on

They are about a year ahead on CPUs. But pretty much everything else (screens, camera sensors, battery) has been on a par with, or behind what everyone else is doing.

hinkley

Uh, no?

When they moved away from unibody laptops they did so by introducing friction-stir welding. That was hot tech on Boeing airplanes at the time. Some of those Boeing patents are still active.

2muchcoffeeman

I think I’m terms of pure features that most people care about, other manufacturers are on par.

But Apple products tend to have some really interesting manufacturing or technology. Machining steel for the iPhone 4, FSW, putting an Xbox Kinect into the notch, LiDAR, making edge to edge screens without a chin, custom silicon.

Most of this is easily replaced or omitted because it doesn’t really matter much to the end user.

danuker

> unibody laptops

You mean the "unibody" made of two sheets of aluminum glued together in a way that the heat unsticks the adhesive?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t7XSckjRPo0

toiletfuneral

I have to push back on this…apple shipped high dpi screens before windows could even manage to support anything above 72dpi

georgeburdell

Eh I can think of many areas where Apple is behind its competitors pretty handily. Samsung has more advanced display tech, for example (OLED, integrated touch, polarizer-free, etc.)

jiggawatts

Which is the exact same display in my iPhone, made by Samsung.

thevagrant

Usually the areas where Apple are behind are for simple reasons:

Competitor is using new unproven tech. Apple decided to wait.

Apple can't use new tech due to supply constraint (new tech supplier can't make enough to supply Apple).

Apple decided that new tech doesn't offer enough competitive advantage vs profit made selling old tech (720p camera vs 1080p camera).

ngcc_hk

Remember those days when you cannot have a larger screen … steve sometimes is a double edge sword.

Whilst the party lasted for apple it can buy the world. But would it last. We have to see. Hence saying it is a monopoly is totally off.

georgeburdell

As an outsider, dealing with Apple as a vendor strikes me as dealing with the mafia: once they've set their sights on you, they'll make you an offer you can't refuse.

Should you accept, they'll give you a shot of capital in the arm and you'll grow faster than you ever could have to meet their schedules. Soon, your engineers are tied up in daily afternoon stand-ups to go over the latest data with Apple's engineers, and they're dictating your R&D schedule. Your company is effectively dependent upon Apple because investors expect revenue growth. Inevitably, however, they'll discard you when a cheaper competitor comes along, or they decide to take the work in-house.

Should you refuse, they'll poach away your employees, or enable your competitors to do the same.

I haven't thought of a scenario where a vendor can actually rebuff Apple and stay intact.

klelatti

Has any of this happened to TSMC? Are they now the most valuable semiconductor manufacturer?

Which is not to excuse some of Apple’s less moral behaviour.

georgeburdell

It's been covered in the media that TSMC loans its employees to Apple. You can also tell that Apple's fingerprints are on TSMC's leading edge node processes because products using it clock lower and consume lower power than comparable Intel processes. Also, to my knowledge, TSMC doesn't particularly stand out in semiconductor sub-fields where Apple doesn't play, such as III-V, embedded memory, and photonics. They are definitely at risk of getting disrupted in these areas.

klelatti

Apple is the biggest TSMC customer. I would be astonished if Apple doesn’t influence TSMC’s R&D, product focus etc.

But to characterise Apple as somehow abusing their relationship with TSMC as a result of what you’ve said is not right. It’s just a normal commercial relationship between a customer and a large supplier.

Also bear in mind that TSMC has a large number of mobile SoC customers - maybe they think that’s their strength and focus on that rather than say photonics. Seems to be working!

zucker42

Is Samsung 3nm competitive with TSMC 3nm? The information I'm finding online says Samsung 3nm pretty close to TSMC 5nm in density (for example [1]).

[1] https://www.breakinglatest.news/business/samsung-3nm-technic...

ksec

Yes, because Samsung decide to be the world first in GAA ( Gate All Around d) hence first generation of 3nm is essentially a TSMC 5nm in density but slightly better in performance or energy and power on paper. ( Blame Samsung ) Think of it as TSMC 4nm.

Their 2nd Generation 3nm which should be what AMD and Qualcomm are using should he little better than this but we dont have any data. ( yet )

hristov

There is a bigger problem than Apple first that the article does not mention. It is Mediatek second (i.e., after apple). Mediatek used to be a strictly second tier mobile processor maker, with Qualcomm and Apple's internal team occupying the first tier. Now Mediatek has overtaken qualcomm in market share. The main reason is that TSMC is making more chips for Mediatek than Qualcomm.

One can explain TSMCs preferential treatment for Apple based on purely commercial terms. Apple is after all the biggest foundry services consumer and they usually demand the advanced nodes which tend to be more expensive.

But there is no such explanation for TSMCs preference for Mediatek over Qualcomm. Qualcomm is generally as large as Mediatek, in fact they used to be significantly larger before TSMC hobbled them.

Well the first explanation that leaps to mind is patriotism (mediatek is a taiwanese company like TSMC, Qualcomm is American). But if that plays a significant factor then perhaps the chipmakers of the world should not so eagerly trust TSMC to make their chips.

throwaway19937

> But there is no such explanation for TSMCs preference for Mediatek over Qualcomm. Qualcomm is generally as large as Mediatek, in fact they used to be significantly larger before TSMC hobbled them.

Qualcomm has a longstanding reputation as a bad actor; they're the Oracle of hardware. It's easy to believe that other companies would prefer to avoid doing business with them.

Jensson

Doing business with people who live in the same area, speak the same language and have the same culture is a lot easier and less risky.

NonEUCitizen

Much more likely is that MediaTek was willing to invest what's needed (i.e. agree to TSMC's asking price) to catch up to / overtake Qualcomm.

Qualcomm as incumbent could've taken too much time trying to negotiate a lower price (e.g. "if you don't lower your price, we'll go to Samsung!").

jonplackett

It’s interesting that Apple’s decision to transition to their own chips was probably lead, at least partly, by the fact they knew the could lock down all this next gen production.

If everyone else had access to cutting edge TSMC I’m sure Apple’s chips would still be good but I don’t think we’d be quite as impressed.

pram

It's "interesting" that I never read any posts about how unfair it was when AMD was using TSMC 7nm to beat Intel. Makes you think, it does.

sudosysgen

Unlike AMD for 5nm, Intel was free to fab their chips on 7nm at any time and chose not to. It's not an analogous situation.

Dylan16807

Because Intel had full control of their own design and fabrication. And while they had problems advancing their fabs, they also could have bought some TSMC 7nm capacity if they wanted to. That's fair. On top of them earning a loss by sticking with stagnant designs for so long.

smoldesu

Probably because TSMC 7nm =! Intel 10nm

rsynnott

> It’s interesting that Apple’s decision to transition to their own chips was probably lead, at least partly, by the fact they knew the could lock down all this next gen production.

Eh? The vast majority of Apple chips that will be made on this process will go into phones, and Apple has been doing its own phone chips for about a decade. The M1 won't be quite a rounding error, but it won't be far off; they just don't sell that many Macs.

Zigurd

It is an integrated strategy: volume + design + supply chain + market power. Apple's CPUs are designed for scaling and binning. The chip designs, along with products like iMac and Mini, can be adjusted to respond to manufacturability and yield. Apple draws a winning hand no matter how the deck is shuffled.

fundad

Exactly Apple made themselves first because otherwise AMD and Qualcomm would have been hogging the capacity but it’s only unfair if Apple does it.

sudosysgen

When did AMD and Qualcomm ever exclusively operate a cutting edge node? Apple would have had to deal with reduced supply, but so would every other player.

fundad

Not that we know of, for hardware supply.

Microsoft can't supply ARM Windows to Qualcomm's competitors. Windows can't be ported to anyone else's ARM chips because of an exclusivity agreement with Microsoft.

sudosysgen

If everyone had access to cutting edge processes, Apple silicon would be behind. They're not even cleanly ahead despite a generation leap in RAM and in processes in CPUs and they're still behind in GPU performance per watt compared to NVidia on 8nm. If Apple wants to lead in performance they can't allow NVidia and AMD to be on the same process. They would even risk Qualcomm chips catching up.

gruturo

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.... but I guess we could settle for just ordinary evidence, if you could care to provide some. Because, in its absence, what you wrote doesn't ring at all true.

sudosysgen

How is this the case? AMD mobile CPUs, core for core, are anywhere from 13% slower to 20% faster (between Geekbench and Cinebench r20 and everything in between), and the M1 Max has a generational process advantage and 2-3x faster RAM, despite a similar TDP. In multicore, the Apple processors plainly consume way more power (62W vs 35W sustained) than any of the latest generation AMD processors yet released. Clearly the gap is within to ~25% process advantage and that's without taking into account much faster RAM.

Same goes in phones. The A14 is around 10-20% faster in all metrics than an 888 and has around that much of a process advantage.

akmarinov

Well that's a load of bull that you just wrote.

Qualcomm uses the exact same process that Apple uses for the 888 and TSMC produces it, yet it's inferior in every way to the A14

sudosysgen

The 888 is produced on Samsung 5nm LPE, not TSMC : https://www.anandtech.com/show/16463/snapdragon-888-vs-exyno...

Despite an inferior process, the 888+ and 888 are only 10-20% behind the A14 in most metrics including energy efficiency, despite being on a process with 35% lower density.

floatboth

> generation leap in RAM

You mean the exact same LPDDR4X that everyone else uses now? Maybe not in huge quantities but there are a lot of AMD Renoir and Intel Tiger Lake laptops with the same 16GB setup.

sudosysgen

The M1 Max and M1 Pro uses LPDDR5, not LPDDR4X. LPDDR5 is around 6 times faster than LPDDR4X but the CPU can use a bit less than half of that.

If you compare the M1 that uses LPDDR4X it loses or ties in multicore and is barely faster in single core.

dsign

Fierce competition in this space is a good thing, we sorely need faster matrix multiplication for everything from graphics processing to the grammar checker in [insert name of your word-processing software]. So yes, more transistors please.

throwaway4good

Do we really? (Serious question - what are the end-user applications that cannot be done today because of the lack of faster matrix multiplication?)

pfortuny

VR headsets, games running at 4K 120fps, etc…

Anything using massive linear algebra.

throwaway4good

4K 120fps - is that "sorely needed"?

coolspot

Lightweight AR glasses that can last whole day on a 1000mAh battery.

thrashh

Imagine being able to have the top of the line graphics performance that you can get now but on a chip the size of your fingernail in the future and the kind of industries that would be created once that became possible.

melff

I think the opposite is true. Modern Hardware is more than fast enough for pretty much all end-user applications(except maybe high-end gaming, but that's not sorely needed), we're just too wasteful with all the performance we've already got.

ZuLuuuuuu

Can't talk much about AMD but Apple-first policy isn't the problem with Qualcomm CPUs. Anybody who follows Qualcomm news knows that they were 99% focused on 5G for the last few years. TSMC 7nm node is available to them for a long time, and yet, they couldn't even come up with an answer to Apple's 2 year old A13 which was also TSMC 7nm.

I know I know, they bought NUVIA (which is widely believed to become the savior of Qualcomm CPUs), but we won't see any results of that acquisition until 2023.

MrBuddyCasino

Ironic, given that Nvidia is moving away from Samsung for the next gen GPUs. Rumour has it they are dissatisfied by production capacity and yields.

Can't imagine their N3 process will be much better, but its good they found customers to finance their latest node with I guess.

enragedcacti

you can't necessarily conclude that Samsung's N3 will be worse because their N8 was worse. Bleeding edge manufacturing requires gambles every couple of nodes with what technology you decide to invest your R&D into. TSMC's mix of lucky and good with EUV patterning won them an advantage over samsung who kept rolling with DUV for 8nm. Intel similarly gambled and fumbled around the same time.

Lots of people were asking why TSMC wasn't charging a higher premium for their 7nm when it was the best process in the world, my theory is that they understand the above and need to maintain relationships for the possibility that Samsung (and Intel as they adapt their business model) can come back around with a little bit of luck and a lot of investment.

peteyPete

There was a good report on CNBC the state of chip manufacturing, TSMC, etc.. There is investment in building two large fabs in the US to help solve some of the current issues and to help avoid being cut off in case of geopolitical instability in the region. Worth the watch.

Secretive Giant TSMC’s $100 Billion Plan To Fix The Chip Shortage https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GU87SH5e0eI

oDot

Does anyone know if Samsung's 3nm and TSMC's 3nm are the same? I recall different fabs measure differently.

jpgvm

They have long since become disconnected from feature size. They are more just for progression/naming purposes now. I think these 2 are similar in performance with TSMC with a slight edge from memory.

blackoil

If it continues for few years as expected, it would be interesting see how anti-monopoly agencies/govt. will handle it. Unlike other times/resources, processors are a matter of concern at all levels. Supply chain issues with unprecedented demand means TSMC can't increase capacity even if money is not an issue. If Samsung can't compete, we'll have a complete monopoly.

Apple gaining marketshare because of this should be a matter of concern for many nations.

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